Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-02-24 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ46067%35%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
7Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
10Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
11Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.27045%0%
12Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.25064%0%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
16Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.88246%0%
18Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
19Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.68232%35%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
23Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.45150%35%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
25Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
27Joel Hofer STLSTL2.17241%0%
28Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
30John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.36120%35%