Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-02-17 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.15170%31%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.95165%27%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.95147%100%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.85145%100%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.74067%35%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI2.74067%0%
7Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.56244%35%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55150%50%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.45150%35%
10Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.45150%35%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.44145%100%
12Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.35255%35%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.25154%0%
14Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.24056%35%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM25142%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA24050%0%
17Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.85146%0%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.85145%0%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.64040%100%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL1.66241%0%
23Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65132%35%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.55129%35%
25John Gibson DETDET1.45135%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44036%35%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.44035%20%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.45136%0%
29Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.35220%35%
31Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.24031%100%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.26229%0%