Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-01-27 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jakub Dobes MTLMTL47240%100%
2Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.87055%35%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
8Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.47150%35%
9Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
10Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.25065%27%
11Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
13Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.76045%0%
16Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.75054%0%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
18Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
20Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
21Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.56244%35%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.37246%0%
24Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.25045%100%
25Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
26John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.85035%20%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.46236%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%