Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-01-20 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY4.37245%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ47267%35%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
6Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.87055%35%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.57256%35%
9Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.47150%35%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.36145%100%
12Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
13Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
15Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.75054%0%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.76045%0%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57236%35%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
24Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27032%35%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.27229%35%
28John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
29Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA27350%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD15020%35%