Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-01-13 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY4.37245%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
6Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
7Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.67231%100%
8Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.58247%35%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.57256%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57250%50%
11Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.47150%35%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
13Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
15Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
16Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.76045%0%
22Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57236%35%
24Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.58350%0%
25Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27032%35%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
28John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.96135%20%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%