Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2025-01-06 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL47240%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ46067%35%
4Jake Oettinger DALDAL48250%50%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
8Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.67231%100%
9Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.55070%31%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.58247%35%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
12Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.36145%100%
13Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
15Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
16Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
17Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
19Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
20Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
24Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
26John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.85035%20%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
30Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.85146%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.57229%0%