Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-12-30 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.88247%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.48265%27%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ46067%35%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
6Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.66240%100%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.57256%35%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
11Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
12Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.27250%35%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
14Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
17Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.66247%35%
19Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.56244%35%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.37232%35%
23Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
25John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.16035%20%
27Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
31Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.36120%35%