Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-12-16 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.96247%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
4Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.66240%100%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.16265%27%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.96256%35%
11Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.85145%100%
12Ilya Sorokin NYINYI2.75167%0%
13Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.65164%0%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.66247%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
16Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46242%35%
17Joey Daccord SEASEA2.45150%35%
18Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.45150%35%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
20Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.26254%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
24Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.87345%0%
25Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.86246%0%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
27John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65132%35%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.65031%100%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%
32Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.45136%0%