Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-12-09 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
6Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA3.57050%0%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.36056%35%
10Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
12Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA36050%35%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT37247%35%
14Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.77254%0%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
19Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
20Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
21Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55050%50%
22Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
23Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.27229%35%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.25131%100%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.17235%20%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
28Joel Hofer STLSTL2.17241%0%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
30John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%