Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-12-02 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.78267%35%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
6Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.28254%0%
10Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.26231%100%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
13Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.96150%35%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
15Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.85056%35%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
17Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.66247%35%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
24Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.35046%0%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.27229%35%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
27John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
28Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
30Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.85145%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%