Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-11-25 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.17270%31%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI48267%0%
4Jake Oettinger DALDAL48150%50%
5Jakub Dobes MTLMTL47240%100%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.98264%0%
8Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA3.78250%35%
11Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
12Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.67231%100%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
14Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT37247%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.97244%35%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
19Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.76250%35%
20Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
21Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.68132%35%
22John Gibson DETDET2.57035%0%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57236%35%
25Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
26Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.37245%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.27229%35%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
30Connor Ingram EDMEDM25142%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.67120%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.26229%0%