Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-11-18 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.78245%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ46067%35%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
9Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
10Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.66240%100%
11Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.67231%100%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57050%50%
13Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA3.27250%35%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
15Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
21John Gibson DETDET2.57035%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
24Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46242%35%
25Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
27Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.24054%0%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.86235%20%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%
32Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.26229%0%