Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-11-04 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
5Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
6Juuse Saros NSHNSH3.48244%35%
7Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.46267%35%
8Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.36145%100%
9Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
10Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.25065%27%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
12Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
14Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
15Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
16Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA2.55050%35%
17Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.55050%0%
18Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55050%50%
19Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
20Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.45150%35%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
22Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.24056%35%
23Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.26254%0%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.16035%20%
25Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.85036%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.67120%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.57229%0%
32John Gibson DETDET1.46235%0%