Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-10-21 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL4.28156%35%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
4Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
8Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.28254%0%
9Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.27045%100%
10Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
11Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
12Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA36050%35%
13Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
16Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.75055%35%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
18Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
19Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
20Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55150%50%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57236%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
24Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
25Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.37245%0%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27032%35%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86029%35%
29John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.65135%20%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.36120%35%