Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-10-14 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL4.57064%0%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
3Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
7Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.35067%35%
8Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
9Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
10Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
11Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA36050%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
17Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.75055%35%
18Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
20Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57236%35%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
24Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
25Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
27John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.98220%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.65135%20%
31Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%
32Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.55029%35%