Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-10-07 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.35067%35%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
6Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
7Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA36050%35%
8Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
12Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.95165%27%
13Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.85145%100%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.75055%35%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.44147%100%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
19Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.25154%0%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
21Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.24056%35%
22Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
23Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
24Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.85036%0%
26John Gibson DETDET1.85035%0%
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85136%35%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.84045%0%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.65135%20%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.55129%35%
32Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%