Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-09-30 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
3Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
4Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
5Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA1.53050%35%
6Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
9Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.32064%0%
10Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
11Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
12Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
13Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
14Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
15Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
16Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.94120%35%
17Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
18Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
21Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
22Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS0.92045%100%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
24Lukas Dostal ANAANA0.92165%27%
25Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
27John Gibson DETDET0.72035%0%
28Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72136%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
30Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL0.61056%35%
31Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.51047%100%
32Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.51045%0%