Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-04-01 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
3Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
4Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
7Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.55070%31%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
9Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
10Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
11Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.27264%0%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
16Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.97244%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87242%35%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.57036%0%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.27229%35%
25John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.16035%20%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.77220%35%