Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-03-18 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
7Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
9Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
10Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.27045%0%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
12Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT37247%35%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
15Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
16Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
18Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
19Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.77254%0%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
22Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
23Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
24Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.27235%20%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
27John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.55129%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%