Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-03-11 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.88247%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI48267%0%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ47267%35%
6Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
7Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.58247%35%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
9Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
10Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.28145%0%
11Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
15Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.75055%35%
16Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.68132%35%
17Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
18Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
19Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
22Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.37246%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
24Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
25Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.26254%0%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.18236%0%
27John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.98220%35%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%