Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-03-04 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.78267%35%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
6Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT37247%35%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
15Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
16Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.75055%35%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
18Joel Hofer STLSTL2.58241%0%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
23Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.24056%35%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
26Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.88229%0%
29John Gibson DETDET1.87235%0%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%