Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-02-26 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ47267%35%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
6Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57250%50%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
8Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
9Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
11Connor Ingram EDMEDM3.28242%35%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA2.96150%35%
16Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.97347%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
18Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.85056%35%
19Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.76250%35%
20Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.37232%35%
23Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.27229%35%
24Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.17235%20%
25Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
26Joel Hofer STLSTL2.17241%0%
27Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
28John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.88229%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.44036%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%