Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-02-19 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Jake Oettinger DALDAL48250%50%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ47267%35%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.87265%27%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.48347%35%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
12Connor Ingram EDMEDM3.28242%35%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
18Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
19Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.78135%20%
22Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
23Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.68232%35%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.58329%35%
25Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
26John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
27Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
28Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.67120%35%