Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-02-05 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
3Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
6Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
9Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
10Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
11Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.64065%27%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
13Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.55050%35%
14Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
15Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
16Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
17Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
18Jet Greaves CBJCBJ23067%35%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.94047%35%
20Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
21Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
22Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.85035%20%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.85146%0%
24Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.84044%35%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%
26Joel Hofer STLSTL1.65141%0%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.55029%35%
29John Gibson DETDET1.44035%0%
30Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.24031%100%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.26229%0%