Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-01-29 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.13070%31%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
3Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
5Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
6Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.63054%0%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
8Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.42145%100%
12Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.43047%100%
13Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
14Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.44145%0%
15Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.33044%35%
16Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.32067%35%
17Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23142%35%
19Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
20Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
21Joey Daccord SEASEA12050%35%
22Arvid Soderblom CHICHI12050%35%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
25Joel Hofer STLSTL0.83141%0%
26John Gibson DETDET0.72035%0%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%