Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-01-22 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.45245%100%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ35167%35%
3Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.64231%100%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.64065%27%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.44170%31%
6Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.35046%0%
7Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
8Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
9Ilya Sorokin NYINYI23067%0%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA24050%35%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.94150%35%
12Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
13Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
14Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.63055%35%
15Joel Hofer STLSTL1.65141%0%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.54150%0%
17Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
18Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
19John Gibson DETDET1.44035%0%
20Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.32064%0%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.23042%35%
22Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.23040%100%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
24Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.12054%0%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.93032%35%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.93135%20%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%