Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-01-15 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.87265%27%
4Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.86245%100%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
6Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.67231%100%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
8Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
10Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
12Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK3.28146%0%
13Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.26164%0%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
16Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
17Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
19Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
20Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
24Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
26John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.96135%20%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.67120%35%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.25129%0%