Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-01-08 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Jake Oettinger DALDAL48250%50%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
4Jakub Dobes MTLMTL47240%100%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.87265%27%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
9Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.28254%0%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
15Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.88236%35%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
17Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
18Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.74067%35%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
20Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
21Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.58229%35%
22Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
24Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.35047%100%
25Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.18236%0%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.16035%20%
28John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.55029%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%