Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2024-01-01 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
9Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.35067%35%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.36056%35%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
13Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.95147%100%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.77254%0%
18Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
19Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
20Joey Daccord SEASEA2.55050%35%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
22Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.37245%0%
23Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
26Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.15042%35%
27Joel Hofer STLSTL2.15041%0%
28John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.85035%20%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.15120%35%