Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-12-25 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.96247%100%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
8Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.36145%100%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
16Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.37232%35%
17Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.37245%0%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
19Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.25131%100%
20Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.26254%0%
21Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.24055%35%
22John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
24Joey Daccord SEASEA24050%35%
25Connor Ingram EDMEDM25142%35%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.65135%20%
29Joel Hofer STLSTL1.65141%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.56220%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%