Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-12-18 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
4Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.66240%100%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.46270%31%
6Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
8Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
16Joey Daccord SEASEA2.55050%35%
17Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46242%35%
18Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
19Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.27229%35%
20Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.25131%100%
21Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.24055%35%
22John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.96135%20%
27Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.86246%0%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.86245%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.46236%0%