Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-12-11 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
4Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
6Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.46270%31%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.36056%35%
9Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.35067%35%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
18Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.65140%100%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
22John Gibson DETDET2.18235%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
26Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.85146%0%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.86245%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.46236%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.36120%35%