Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-12-04 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.88247%100%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
7Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57250%50%
10Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
13Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.15170%31%
14Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.97244%35%
18Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
19Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
22Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.37245%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
24Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
25Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
26John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.77220%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.46236%0%