Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-11-27 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ58167%35%
2Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL48256%35%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
4Jakub Dobes MTLMTL47240%100%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
6Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.98231%100%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
8Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
9Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
10Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.78250%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH3.48244%35%
15Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
16Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
17Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.78245%0%
18Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
20Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.75054%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
22Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
25Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.15042%35%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.86029%0%
30John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.77220%35%