Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-11-20 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

❓ How to read this (plain English)

The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.88270%31%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.78245%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.98264%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
7Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
9Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.66240%100%
10Juuse Saros NSHNSH3.58144%35%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
12Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
14Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
17Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.27235%20%
22Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.25154%0%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.18236%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
26Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.85146%0%
27John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
28Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.56220%35%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.55029%35%