Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-11-13 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
8Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.36056%35%
10Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
12Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97042%35%
13Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
15Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
16Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
17Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55050%50%
18Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
19Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.35047%100%
20Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.96135%20%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
23Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.84045%0%
24Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.85146%0%
25Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.64154%0%
26Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.57229%0%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%
28Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.43047%35%
29John Gibson DETDET1.45135%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.45136%0%
31Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%