Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-11-06 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.78267%35%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
6Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.55070%31%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
8Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
10Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
11Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.36145%100%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
14Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.95147%100%
15Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
17Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
18Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
19Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.45150%35%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
21Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.25147%35%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.96229%35%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
26Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
27Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.85145%0%
28Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.85146%0%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.44036%0%
30John Gibson DETDET1.45135%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD15020%35%