Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-10-30 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
3Jake Oettinger DALDAL48250%50%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
6Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
8Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA3.57050%0%
9Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
10Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
12Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.25064%0%
13Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
14Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
15Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.85145%100%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
17Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
18Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57236%35%
19Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.45150%35%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
21Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.25147%35%
22John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
25Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.15042%35%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.86235%20%
28Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.85145%0%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.55029%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.15120%35%