Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-10-23 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ46067%35%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
5Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.67231%100%
6Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
8Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.36145%100%
9Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.25064%0%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
11Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
14Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.85056%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.55050%0%
16Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.45150%35%
18Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
22Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.27235%20%
23Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
25John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
26Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.15042%35%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.77220%35%
30Joel Hofer STLSTL1.66241%0%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.55029%0%