Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-10-16 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
5Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
7Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
8Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
9Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
11Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
13Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.85056%35%
14Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
15Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
16Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.55050%35%
17Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.55050%0%
18Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55050%50%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
20Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
21Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
22Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
23Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
24John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16036%35%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
29Joel Hofer STLSTL1.65141%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.55029%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%