Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-10-09 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.25064%0%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.15170%31%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
7Jet Greaves CBJCBJ35167%35%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
9Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.75055%35%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.75054%0%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.55050%0%
13Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.55265%27%
14Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.35046%0%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.25147%35%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.25045%100%
17Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.15042%35%
18Jake Oettinger DALDAL24050%50%
19Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
20Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.85035%20%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.85036%0%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85036%35%
24John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
25Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.84045%0%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%
27Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.64040%100%
28Joel Hofer STLSTL1.64041%0%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.55029%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.25129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.94120%35%