Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-04-10 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
4Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53150%50%
5Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
8Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
9Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.42140%100%
10Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
11Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.33164%0%
12Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
13Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.23144%35%
14Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.14235%20%
15Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
16Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.12056%35%
17Eric Comrie WPGWPG13132%35%
18Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
19Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93129%35%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
21Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
22Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
23Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
24Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
25John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.72036%0%
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
28Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.62031%100%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.62029%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%
31Joel Hofer STLSTL0.42141%0%