Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-04-03 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

❓ How to read this (plain English)

The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
3Joey Daccord SEASEA3.27250%35%
4Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.27264%0%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
7Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.15170%31%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
9Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.97244%35%
10Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
11Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.95165%27%
12Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.85145%100%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
14Ilya Sorokin NYINYI2.74067%0%
15Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
16Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.65140%100%
17Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.65156%35%
18Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.55050%0%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.35046%0%
21Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.17235%20%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM25142%35%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
25John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
26Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.85145%0%
27Joel Hofer STLSTL1.65141%0%
28Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65132%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.55029%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.45136%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD15020%35%