Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-03-27 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.17270%31%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.87265%27%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
7Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
8Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
9Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI36050%35%
15Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
17Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87242%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
20Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.88236%35%
21Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
22Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
24John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86029%35%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
29Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.85145%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.67120%35%
31Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65032%35%