Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-03-20 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.88247%100%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.88270%31%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ47267%35%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
8Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.58247%35%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
10Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.36056%35%
12Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA38250%0%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
17Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
18Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
19Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.77254%0%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL2.58241%0%
21Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
22Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.37246%0%
23Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
24John Gibson DETDET2.18235%0%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
26Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
27Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.88229%0%
29Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.86235%20%
30Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86029%35%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.77220%35%