Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-03-06 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.17270%31%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL48256%35%
5Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
7Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
8Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
12Juuse Saros NSHNSH3.48244%35%
13Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
14Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
15Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
16Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
17Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
18Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
19Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.78135%20%
20Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
21Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.68232%35%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.27329%35%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
27Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA25150%0%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.98220%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
31John Gibson DETDET1.45135%0%