Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-02-27 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.17270%31%
3Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL48256%35%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
6Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.78250%35%
7Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
8Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
9Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.58247%35%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
14Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.35067%0%
15Akira Schmid VGKVGK3.28131%100%
16Jet Greaves CBJCBJ35167%35%
17Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
20Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
22Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
23Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.37232%35%
24Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.35045%0%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.27229%35%
26Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.25154%0%
27John Gibson DETDET1.88335%0%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85036%35%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.46236%0%