Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-02-20 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI46067%0%
4Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL48256%35%
5Jakub Dobes MTLMTL47240%100%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
8Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.46267%35%
9Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
10Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT37247%35%
13Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
14Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
19Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.66264%0%
20Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.55050%0%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
22Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
23Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
25Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.27031%100%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
28John Gibson DETDET2.18235%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%