Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-02-13 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ47267%35%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.57256%35%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
8Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
10Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.97347%35%
14Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
15Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
16Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
17Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
18Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55150%50%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
20Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.56042%35%
21Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.48129%35%
22Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.37246%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
25John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
27Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.96364%0%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.67120%35%
30Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.65031%100%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.57229%0%