Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-02-06 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
3Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.57256%35%
4Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.46267%35%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
7Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.27264%0%
8Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.27250%35%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
11Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
12Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS2.84070%31%
13Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
14Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
15Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
16Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.65140%100%
17Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.48129%35%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.25147%35%
19Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
20John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
21Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.94047%100%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
23Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.85145%0%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.65031%100%
25Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.65254%0%
26Joel Hofer STLSTL1.65141%0%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.44035%20%
29Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
30Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.26229%0%